How can I model this time-series? The 2019 Stack Overflow Developer Survey Results Are In Unicorn Meta Zoo #1: Why another podcast? Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar ManaraPrediction Model for forecasting using Linear regressionPredictive model of time seriestime series similarity heuristicTime Series with increasing dimensionTime series analysis, moving-average model, ARMA modelIs forecasting appropriate for a seemingly random time-series?What is lag in a time series?Forecasting seasonal dataReduced order model from time series to generate a new time seriesConfidence interval for a GARCH model with R[Time Series problem]

Sort list of array linked objects by keys and values

Is it ok to offer lower paid work as a trial period before negotiating for a full-time job?

Is it ethical to upload a automatically generated paper to a non peer-reviewed site as part of a larger research?

How do I design a circuit to convert a 100 mV and 50 Hz sine wave to a square wave?

Can the Right Ascension and Argument of Perigee of a spacecraft's orbit keep varying by themselves with time?

How to determine omitted units in a publication

Using dividends to reduce short term capital gains?

Drawing vertical/oblique lines in Metrical tree (tikz-qtree, tipa)

Huge performance difference of the command find with and without using %M option to show permissions

Can the DM override racial traits?

One-dimensional Japanese puzzle

What is the padding with red substance inside of steak packaging?

Was credit for the black hole image misappropriated?

Drawing arrows from one table cell reference to another

60's-70's movie: home appliances revolting against the owners

Did the UK government pay "millions and millions of dollars" to try to snag Julian Assange?

Is there a way to generate uniformly distributed points on a sphere from a fixed amount of random real numbers per point?

Why can't devices on different VLANs, but on the same subnet, communicate?

The following signatures were invalid: EXPKEYSIG 1397BC53640DB551

Visa regaring travelling European country

Simulating Exploding Dice

Separating matrix elements by lines

"... to apply for a visa" or "... and applied for a visa"?

Match Roman Numerals



How can I model this time-series?



The 2019 Stack Overflow Developer Survey Results Are In
Unicorn Meta Zoo #1: Why another podcast?
Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar ManaraPrediction Model for forecasting using Linear regressionPredictive model of time seriestime series similarity heuristicTime Series with increasing dimensionTime series analysis, moving-average model, ARMA modelIs forecasting appropriate for a seemingly random time-series?What is lag in a time series?Forecasting seasonal dataReduced order model from time series to generate a new time seriesConfidence interval for a GARCH model with R[Time Series problem]










0












$begingroup$


would somebody give me idea, how can I predict few steps of time series such as this one?



Time series I want to predict



Basic summary of data



I tried to subtract mean and then model ARIMA, but it gives me for me confusing prediction:



Fit ARIMA



Prediction ARIMA



Thank you for your time and useful advice.










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$
















    0












    $begingroup$


    would somebody give me idea, how can I predict few steps of time series such as this one?



    Time series I want to predict



    Basic summary of data



    I tried to subtract mean and then model ARIMA, but it gives me for me confusing prediction:



    Fit ARIMA



    Prediction ARIMA



    Thank you for your time and useful advice.










    share|cite|improve this question









    $endgroup$














      0












      0








      0





      $begingroup$


      would somebody give me idea, how can I predict few steps of time series such as this one?



      Time series I want to predict



      Basic summary of data



      I tried to subtract mean and then model ARIMA, but it gives me for me confusing prediction:



      Fit ARIMA



      Prediction ARIMA



      Thank you for your time and useful advice.










      share|cite|improve this question









      $endgroup$




      would somebody give me idea, how can I predict few steps of time series such as this one?



      Time series I want to predict



      Basic summary of data



      I tried to subtract mean and then model ARIMA, but it gives me for me confusing prediction:



      Fit ARIMA



      Prediction ARIMA



      Thank you for your time and useful advice.







      statistics time-series






      share|cite|improve this question













      share|cite|improve this question











      share|cite|improve this question




      share|cite|improve this question










      asked Apr 8 at 8:15









      Matus D.Matus D.

      185




      185




















          0






          active

          oldest

          votes












          Your Answer








          StackExchange.ready(function()
          var channelOptions =
          tags: "".split(" "),
          id: "69"
          ;
          initTagRenderer("".split(" "), "".split(" "), channelOptions);

          StackExchange.using("externalEditor", function()
          // Have to fire editor after snippets, if snippets enabled
          if (StackExchange.settings.snippets.snippetsEnabled)
          StackExchange.using("snippets", function()
          createEditor();
          );

          else
          createEditor();

          );

          function createEditor()
          StackExchange.prepareEditor(
          heartbeatType: 'answer',
          autoActivateHeartbeat: false,
          convertImagesToLinks: true,
          noModals: true,
          showLowRepImageUploadWarning: true,
          reputationToPostImages: 10,
          bindNavPrevention: true,
          postfix: "",
          imageUploader:
          brandingHtml: "Powered by u003ca class="icon-imgur-white" href="https://imgur.com/"u003eu003c/au003e",
          contentPolicyHtml: "User contributions licensed under u003ca href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/"u003ecc by-sa 3.0 with attribution requiredu003c/au003e u003ca href="https://stackoverflow.com/legal/content-policy"u003e(content policy)u003c/au003e",
          allowUrls: true
          ,
          noCode: true, onDemand: true,
          discardSelector: ".discard-answer"
          ,immediatelyShowMarkdownHelp:true
          );



          );













          draft saved

          draft discarded


















          StackExchange.ready(
          function ()
          StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3179326%2fhow-can-i-model-this-time-series%23new-answer', 'question_page');

          );

          Post as a guest















          Required, but never shown

























          0






          active

          oldest

          votes








          0






          active

          oldest

          votes









          active

          oldest

          votes






          active

          oldest

          votes















          draft saved

          draft discarded
















































          Thanks for contributing an answer to Mathematics Stack Exchange!


          • Please be sure to answer the question. Provide details and share your research!

          But avoid


          • Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers.

          • Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience.

          Use MathJax to format equations. MathJax reference.


          To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers.




          draft saved


          draft discarded














          StackExchange.ready(
          function ()
          StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3179326%2fhow-can-i-model-this-time-series%23new-answer', 'question_page');

          );

          Post as a guest















          Required, but never shown





















































          Required, but never shown














          Required, but never shown












          Required, but never shown







          Required, but never shown

































          Required, but never shown














          Required, but never shown












          Required, but never shown







          Required, but never shown







          Popular posts from this blog

          Bosc Connection Yimello Approaching Angry The produce zaps the market. 구성 기록되다 변경...

          WordPress Information needed

          Hidroelektrana Sadržaj Povijest | Podjela hidroelektrana | Snaga dobivena u hidroelektranama | Dijelovi hidroelektrane | Uloga hidroelektrana u suvremenom svijetu | Prednosti hidroelektrana | Nedostaci hidroelektrana | Države s najvećom proizvodnjom hidro-električne energije | Deset najvećih hidroelektrana u svijetu | Hidroelektrane u Hrvatskoj | Izvori | Poveznice | Vanjske poveznice | Navigacijski izbornikTechnical Report, Version 2Zajedničkom poslužiteljuHidroelektranaHEP Proizvodnja d.o.o. - Hidroelektrane u Hrvatskoj