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$C$ is Geometrically distributed and $N$ is Poisson distributed. What is the sum of N $C$ events?
The 2019 Stack Overflow Developer Survey Results Are In
Unicorn Meta Zoo #1: Why another podcast?
Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar ManaraWhat is the distribution of sum of a Gaussian and a Rayleigh distributed independent r.v.?Induction for sum of Poisson distributed random variablesDon't understand the *derivation* of geometrically distributed random variablesPoisson process. Time between two events.Poisson process - number of store purchases in a given timeWhat is the time between groups of events when single events have a Poisson distribution?$X$ is Poisson distributed and $Y$ is geometrically distributed. Determine $P(X=Y)$marginal distribution poisson distributed variablesIs this process Poisson-distributed?Poisson with Exponentially Distributed Parameter
$begingroup$
The question I am trying to answer is along the lines of a music store has on average 8 customers every hour ($N$ ~ Poisson(8)) and the probability of them buying a CD is 0.7. If the $i$th customer searches through $c_i$ cd's before they find one to purchase ($c_i$ ~ Geo(0.7)), what is T (the total number of cd's browsed through in an hour by N customers, excluding the purchased ones) in terms of $c_i$ and N? What is $P(T = 0)$?
So far I have identified the two distributions and since I know that each person will look through $c_i$ books before a success, I'm assuming:
$$ T = sum_i=1^N 0.7(1 - 0.7)^c_i$$
And in order to find $P(T = 0)$, I know that T will only equal zero in the case where no customers enter the store ($i = 0$), or where N customers purchase the first CD they look at ($c_i = 0$).
$$ P(T = 0) = P(N = 0) + P(T = 0 | N = n)P(N = n) $$
$$ P(T = 0) = e^-8 + sum_n=0^infty 0.7frac8^ne^-8n! $$
$$ P(T = 0) = e^-8 + 0.7$$
Am I correct? My knowledge of using/combining two distributions is non-existent so I've tried my best.
probability-distributions summation
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add a comment |
$begingroup$
The question I am trying to answer is along the lines of a music store has on average 8 customers every hour ($N$ ~ Poisson(8)) and the probability of them buying a CD is 0.7. If the $i$th customer searches through $c_i$ cd's before they find one to purchase ($c_i$ ~ Geo(0.7)), what is T (the total number of cd's browsed through in an hour by N customers, excluding the purchased ones) in terms of $c_i$ and N? What is $P(T = 0)$?
So far I have identified the two distributions and since I know that each person will look through $c_i$ books before a success, I'm assuming:
$$ T = sum_i=1^N 0.7(1 - 0.7)^c_i$$
And in order to find $P(T = 0)$, I know that T will only equal zero in the case where no customers enter the store ($i = 0$), or where N customers purchase the first CD they look at ($c_i = 0$).
$$ P(T = 0) = P(N = 0) + P(T = 0 | N = n)P(N = n) $$
$$ P(T = 0) = e^-8 + sum_n=0^infty 0.7frac8^ne^-8n! $$
$$ P(T = 0) = e^-8 + 0.7$$
Am I correct? My knowledge of using/combining two distributions is non-existent so I've tried my best.
probability-distributions summation
New contributor
whereswally is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
Could you edit the first paragraph? There seems to be some confusions.
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:22
$begingroup$
Sorry, is that better?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 6:30
$begingroup$
" probability of them buying a CD is 0.7. If the ith customer searches through ci cd's before they find one to purchase (ci ~ Geo(0.8))". Why are you having 0.7 and 0.8 at the same time?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:45
add a comment |
$begingroup$
The question I am trying to answer is along the lines of a music store has on average 8 customers every hour ($N$ ~ Poisson(8)) and the probability of them buying a CD is 0.7. If the $i$th customer searches through $c_i$ cd's before they find one to purchase ($c_i$ ~ Geo(0.7)), what is T (the total number of cd's browsed through in an hour by N customers, excluding the purchased ones) in terms of $c_i$ and N? What is $P(T = 0)$?
So far I have identified the two distributions and since I know that each person will look through $c_i$ books before a success, I'm assuming:
$$ T = sum_i=1^N 0.7(1 - 0.7)^c_i$$
And in order to find $P(T = 0)$, I know that T will only equal zero in the case where no customers enter the store ($i = 0$), or where N customers purchase the first CD they look at ($c_i = 0$).
$$ P(T = 0) = P(N = 0) + P(T = 0 | N = n)P(N = n) $$
$$ P(T = 0) = e^-8 + sum_n=0^infty 0.7frac8^ne^-8n! $$
$$ P(T = 0) = e^-8 + 0.7$$
Am I correct? My knowledge of using/combining two distributions is non-existent so I've tried my best.
probability-distributions summation
New contributor
whereswally is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.
$endgroup$
The question I am trying to answer is along the lines of a music store has on average 8 customers every hour ($N$ ~ Poisson(8)) and the probability of them buying a CD is 0.7. If the $i$th customer searches through $c_i$ cd's before they find one to purchase ($c_i$ ~ Geo(0.7)), what is T (the total number of cd's browsed through in an hour by N customers, excluding the purchased ones) in terms of $c_i$ and N? What is $P(T = 0)$?
So far I have identified the two distributions and since I know that each person will look through $c_i$ books before a success, I'm assuming:
$$ T = sum_i=1^N 0.7(1 - 0.7)^c_i$$
And in order to find $P(T = 0)$, I know that T will only equal zero in the case where no customers enter the store ($i = 0$), or where N customers purchase the first CD they look at ($c_i = 0$).
$$ P(T = 0) = P(N = 0) + P(T = 0 | N = n)P(N = n) $$
$$ P(T = 0) = e^-8 + sum_n=0^infty 0.7frac8^ne^-8n! $$
$$ P(T = 0) = e^-8 + 0.7$$
Am I correct? My knowledge of using/combining two distributions is non-existent so I've tried my best.
probability-distributions summation
probability-distributions summation
New contributor
whereswally is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.
New contributor
whereswally is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.
edited Apr 8 at 6:52
whereswally
New contributor
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asked Apr 8 at 6:11
whereswallywhereswally
11
11
New contributor
whereswally is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
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New contributor
whereswally is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.
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Check out our Code of Conduct.
$begingroup$
Could you edit the first paragraph? There seems to be some confusions.
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:22
$begingroup$
Sorry, is that better?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 6:30
$begingroup$
" probability of them buying a CD is 0.7. If the ith customer searches through ci cd's before they find one to purchase (ci ~ Geo(0.8))". Why are you having 0.7 and 0.8 at the same time?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:45
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Could you edit the first paragraph? There seems to be some confusions.
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:22
$begingroup$
Sorry, is that better?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 6:30
$begingroup$
" probability of them buying a CD is 0.7. If the ith customer searches through ci cd's before they find one to purchase (ci ~ Geo(0.8))". Why are you having 0.7 and 0.8 at the same time?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:45
$begingroup$
Could you edit the first paragraph? There seems to be some confusions.
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:22
$begingroup$
Could you edit the first paragraph? There seems to be some confusions.
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:22
$begingroup$
Sorry, is that better?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 6:30
$begingroup$
Sorry, is that better?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 6:30
$begingroup$
" probability of them buying a CD is 0.7. If the ith customer searches through ci cd's before they find one to purchase (ci ~ Geo(0.8))". Why are you having 0.7 and 0.8 at the same time?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:45
$begingroup$
" probability of them buying a CD is 0.7. If the ith customer searches through ci cd's before they find one to purchase (ci ~ Geo(0.8))". Why are you having 0.7 and 0.8 at the same time?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:45
add a comment |
1 Answer
1
active
oldest
votes
$begingroup$
Let $Nsim Po(lambda)$ be the number of consumers in an hour.
$P(C=0)$ is the probability that all consumers (if any) who enter the store buy the first CD they see. For each of them, they buy the first CD with probability $p=0.7$. The probability of all $N$ people buying the first CD they see is $p^N$. So,
$$
P(C=0)=sum_k=0^infty e^-lambdafraclambda^kk!cdot p^k\
=e^-lambda sum_k=0^infty frac(lambda p)^kk!
=e^-lambda+lambda p=e^-lambda(1-p)\
=e^-8times 0.3=0.0907 ldots
$$
You are "almost" correct but you've made two mistakes. First you need not count $e^-8$ seperately since it is in the sum. Secondly you need to note that the probability of $n$ independent events all happening is $p^n$.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
Thank you. Should my summation for the total number of CD's browsed just be N*c_i?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 7:06
$begingroup$
@whereswally What do you mean? Are you trying to find the expected number of CDs browsed?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 8:06
add a comment |
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1 Answer
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1 Answer
1
active
oldest
votes
active
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votes
active
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votes
$begingroup$
Let $Nsim Po(lambda)$ be the number of consumers in an hour.
$P(C=0)$ is the probability that all consumers (if any) who enter the store buy the first CD they see. For each of them, they buy the first CD with probability $p=0.7$. The probability of all $N$ people buying the first CD they see is $p^N$. So,
$$
P(C=0)=sum_k=0^infty e^-lambdafraclambda^kk!cdot p^k\
=e^-lambda sum_k=0^infty frac(lambda p)^kk!
=e^-lambda+lambda p=e^-lambda(1-p)\
=e^-8times 0.3=0.0907 ldots
$$
You are "almost" correct but you've made two mistakes. First you need not count $e^-8$ seperately since it is in the sum. Secondly you need to note that the probability of $n$ independent events all happening is $p^n$.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
Thank you. Should my summation for the total number of CD's browsed just be N*c_i?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 7:06
$begingroup$
@whereswally What do you mean? Are you trying to find the expected number of CDs browsed?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 8:06
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Let $Nsim Po(lambda)$ be the number of consumers in an hour.
$P(C=0)$ is the probability that all consumers (if any) who enter the store buy the first CD they see. For each of them, they buy the first CD with probability $p=0.7$. The probability of all $N$ people buying the first CD they see is $p^N$. So,
$$
P(C=0)=sum_k=0^infty e^-lambdafraclambda^kk!cdot p^k\
=e^-lambda sum_k=0^infty frac(lambda p)^kk!
=e^-lambda+lambda p=e^-lambda(1-p)\
=e^-8times 0.3=0.0907 ldots
$$
You are "almost" correct but you've made two mistakes. First you need not count $e^-8$ seperately since it is in the sum. Secondly you need to note that the probability of $n$ independent events all happening is $p^n$.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
Thank you. Should my summation for the total number of CD's browsed just be N*c_i?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 7:06
$begingroup$
@whereswally What do you mean? Are you trying to find the expected number of CDs browsed?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 8:06
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Let $Nsim Po(lambda)$ be the number of consumers in an hour.
$P(C=0)$ is the probability that all consumers (if any) who enter the store buy the first CD they see. For each of them, they buy the first CD with probability $p=0.7$. The probability of all $N$ people buying the first CD they see is $p^N$. So,
$$
P(C=0)=sum_k=0^infty e^-lambdafraclambda^kk!cdot p^k\
=e^-lambda sum_k=0^infty frac(lambda p)^kk!
=e^-lambda+lambda p=e^-lambda(1-p)\
=e^-8times 0.3=0.0907 ldots
$$
You are "almost" correct but you've made two mistakes. First you need not count $e^-8$ seperately since it is in the sum. Secondly you need to note that the probability of $n$ independent events all happening is $p^n$.
$endgroup$
Let $Nsim Po(lambda)$ be the number of consumers in an hour.
$P(C=0)$ is the probability that all consumers (if any) who enter the store buy the first CD they see. For each of them, they buy the first CD with probability $p=0.7$. The probability of all $N$ people buying the first CD they see is $p^N$. So,
$$
P(C=0)=sum_k=0^infty e^-lambdafraclambda^kk!cdot p^k\
=e^-lambda sum_k=0^infty frac(lambda p)^kk!
=e^-lambda+lambda p=e^-lambda(1-p)\
=e^-8times 0.3=0.0907 ldots
$$
You are "almost" correct but you've made two mistakes. First you need not count $e^-8$ seperately since it is in the sum. Secondly you need to note that the probability of $n$ independent events all happening is $p^n$.
answered Apr 8 at 6:44
Holding ArthurHolding Arthur
1,575417
1,575417
$begingroup$
Thank you. Should my summation for the total number of CD's browsed just be N*c_i?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 7:06
$begingroup$
@whereswally What do you mean? Are you trying to find the expected number of CDs browsed?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 8:06
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Thank you. Should my summation for the total number of CD's browsed just be N*c_i?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 7:06
$begingroup$
@whereswally What do you mean? Are you trying to find the expected number of CDs browsed?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 8:06
$begingroup$
Thank you. Should my summation for the total number of CD's browsed just be N*c_i?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 7:06
$begingroup$
Thank you. Should my summation for the total number of CD's browsed just be N*c_i?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 7:06
$begingroup$
@whereswally What do you mean? Are you trying to find the expected number of CDs browsed?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 8:06
$begingroup$
@whereswally What do you mean? Are you trying to find the expected number of CDs browsed?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 8:06
add a comment |
whereswally is a new contributor. Be nice, and check out our Code of Conduct.
whereswally is a new contributor. Be nice, and check out our Code of Conduct.
whereswally is a new contributor. Be nice, and check out our Code of Conduct.
whereswally is a new contributor. Be nice, and check out our Code of Conduct.
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$begingroup$
Could you edit the first paragraph? There seems to be some confusions.
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:22
$begingroup$
Sorry, is that better?
$endgroup$
– whereswally
Apr 8 at 6:30
$begingroup$
" probability of them buying a CD is 0.7. If the ith customer searches through ci cd's before they find one to purchase (ci ~ Geo(0.8))". Why are you having 0.7 and 0.8 at the same time?
$endgroup$
– Holding Arthur
Apr 8 at 6:45